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Hurricane center monitoring system moving across Florida. 10-20% odds for development

The radar became a part of the Stanley Cup Final on Wednesday when a South Florida day of ran disrupted travel plans to Edomonton (NOAA/NHC)
The radar became a part of the Stanley Cup Final on Wednesday when a South Florida day of ran disrupted travel plans to Edomonton (NOAA/NHC)
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The National Hurricane Center said Tuesday it is watching a broad area of low pressure over the eastern Gulf of Mexico that is expected to bring a lot of rain to Florida over the next several days.

The system is “producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms,” the NHC said in its Tuesday 2 p.m. Tropical Weather Outlook. Once it moves across the peninsula and into the Atlantic is when the system might have a chance to develop into a tropical depression or storm, though the odds remain low.

“Environmental conditions are expected to be generally unfavorable, although some slow development is possible,” hurricane center forecasters said. They place odds of development at 10 percent in the next 48 hours, and 20 percent in the next seven days.

This National Hurricane Center map shows the possible area where a depression or storm could form later this week, with odds put between 10 and 20 percent. (NHC)
This National Hurricane Center map shows the possible area where a depression or storm could form later this week, with odds put between 10 and 20 percent. (NHC)

“Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is already occurring and is expected to continue across portions of Florida during the next few days,” the tropical outlook said.

The National Weather Service in Melbourne is forecasting rain, gusty winds and the possibility of localized flooding in the next several days. The NWS places daily rain chances at 90% for Wednesday, 80% for Thursday and Friday, 70% for Saturday and 60% for Sunday.

“Likely to numerous showers and lighting storms are forecast each day through the workweek,” the NWS said.

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